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DYCOM INDUSTRIES INC (DY)·Q3 2026 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Record Q3 results with revenue $1.452B, diluted EPS $3.63, adjusted EBITDA $219.4M and margin 15.1%, driven by fiber-to-the-home ramps, hyperscaler-related fiber programs, strong wireless activity, and operating leverage .
  • Broad-based strength: backlog hit an all-time high $8.22B (NTM $4.99B), DSOs improved to 105 days, and operating cash flow rose to $220M .
  • Dycom raised the midpoint of FY26 revenue outlook to $5.350–$5.425B (from $5.290–$5.425B), and issued Q4 guidance: revenue $1.26–$1.34B, adj. EBITDA $140–$155M, EPS $1.30–$1.65; will introduce non-GAAP adjusted EPS (ex-intangible amortization) starting Q4 at $1.62–$1.97 .
  • Strategic catalyst: announced $1.95B acquisition of Power Solutions (≈$1B rev., mid-to-high-teens margins, >$1B backlog), immediately accretive to adj. EBITDA margin and adj. EPS; pro forma net leverage <3x at close with path to ≈2x in 12–18 months .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • “Exceptional third quarter with record revenue, profitability and backlog” and raised FY midpoint; adj. EBITDA margin expanded 169 bps YoY to 15.1% on operating leverage .
    • Strong demand signals: fiber-to-home “fever pitch,” hyperscaler fiber infrastructure “strengthening at an incredible rate,” and service/maintenance renewals; >$500M verbal BEAD-related awards not yet in backlog .
    • Cash and execution: DSOs improved by 14 days YoY to 105; operating cash flow $220M; ERP phase 1 deployed to drive future efficiencies .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Q4 outlook reflects normal seasonal headwinds (fewer workdays, reduced daylight, winter weather), and wider revenue range given seasonality and holiday timing .
    • Customer concentration remains material: AT&T ($361.9M) and Lumen ($170.3M) each >10% of Q3 revenue; execution risk if carrier programs modulate .
    • BEAD timing still staged: revenue expected to begin in Q2 of next fiscal year and ramp thereafter; >$500M verbal awards not yet reflected in backlog .

Financial Results

Headline P&L (chronological: YoY and sequential context)

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2026Q3 2026
Revenue ($USD Billions)$1.272 $1.378 $1.452
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$170.7 $205.5 $219.4
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)13.4% 14.9% 15.1%
Net Income ($USD Millions)$69.8 $97.5 $106.4
Diluted EPS ($)$2.37 $3.33 $3.63

Q3 Actuals vs Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global)

MetricQ3 2026 ActualQ3 2026 Consensus*
Revenue ($USD Billions)$1.452 $1.408*
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$219.4 $205.6*
Diluted EPS ($)$3.63 $3.21*
Values with asterisk retrieved from S&P Global.

Customer Concentration (revenue)

CustomerQ2 2026 ($M)Q3 2026 ($M)
AT&T$373.0 $361.9
Lumen$155.4 $170.3

KPIs and Cash (chronological)

KPIQ1 2026Q2 2026Q3 2026
Backlog ($B)$8.127 $8.0 $8.22
Next-12-Month Backlog ($B)$4.685 $4.604 $4.99
DSOs (days)111 108 105
Operating Cash Flow ($M)$(54) $57.4 $220.0

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Total RevenueFY 2026$5.290–$5.425B (Aug 20) $5.350–$5.425B (Nov 19) Raised midpoint
Contract RevenuesQ4 2026$1.26–$1.34B New
Adjusted EBITDAQ4 2026$140–$155M New
Diluted EPSQ4 2026$1.30–$1.65 New
Adjusted Diluted EPS (ex-intangible amort.)Q4 2026$1.62–$1.97 New (methodology)

Management will begin excluding intangible amortization in adjusted EPS starting Q4; Q3 adjusted EPS equaled GAAP ($3.63) as there were no adjustments impacting EPS .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2 FY26)Current Period (Q3 FY26)Trend
AI/data center infrastructureHyperscaler CapEx up; long-haul/middle-mile TAM “over $20B” next 5 years; initial inside-the-fence awards Stronger conviction; expects outside-plant data center build ramp in CY’26, substantial growth in 2027+; announced Power Solutions deal to enter data center electrical; DMV 27% of US capacity Accelerating opportunity; expanding scope
BEADNot in FY26 outlook; expecting clarity mid-year; rural fiber expected NTIA final plans approved for 15 states & 3 territories; >$500M verbal awards; revenue expected to start Q2 next FY Firming pathway/timing
Service & maintenance“Cornerstone,” >50% historically; new awards and renewals Additional $500M+ agreements executed post-quarter (to hit Q4 backlog) Growing, supports durability
Wireless programsOutperforming; at least two more years on current programs “Remains strong”; supports future densification opportunities Sustained
Macro/tariffsMinimal impact expected; US-based labor dilutes tariff effects No material change; focus on cash and ERP deployment for efficiencies Neutral

Management Commentary

  • “We delivered an exceptional third quarter with record revenue, profitability and backlog... As a result of our strong performance, we are increasing the midpoint of our full-year revenue outlook” (CEO) .
  • “Telecommunications demand drivers have never been stronger... accelerating fiber builds, a massive ramp-up in data center needs, and the much anticipated arrival of BEAD” (CEO) .
  • On Power Solutions: “Transaction... expected to be immediately accretive to our adjusted EBITDA margin and adjusted diluted EPS... pro forma net leverage below three times at closing, path to ~two times in 12–18 months” (CFO) .
  • “We have already secured over $500 million in verbal awards related to BEAD deployments, which is not yet reflected in our backlog” (CEO) .
  • “Adjusted EBITDA was 15.1% of contract revenues... as we performed well and continued to benefit from operating leverage” (CFO) .

Q&A Highlights

  • Cash discipline and collections: DSOs improved 14 days YoY to 105; management expects to remain “in a much better place overall,” though not always perfect .
  • Seasonality and Q4 range: Wider revenue range reflects normal Q4 seasonality (mid-week holidays, reduced daylight, winter weather) despite higher midpoint .
  • BEAD timing: Last step is funding; Louisiana already funded; Dycom expects revenue start in Q2 of next fiscal year; >$500M verbal awards are growing .
  • Expansion opportunity with Power Solutions: Initial focus on DMV with measured approach to new markets; business is capital-light with DSOs ~60+ days, supportive of deleveraging .
  • Margin sustainability: Operating leverage and efficiency initiatives driving expansion; aim to sustain mid-teens adjusted EBITDA margins as mix scales .

Estimates Context

  • Q3 FY26 delivered broad beats vs consensus: revenue $1.452B vs $1.408B*, EPS $3.63 vs $3.21*, and adjusted EBITDA $219.4M vs $205.6M*; beats stemmed from fiber-to-the-home ramps, hyperscaler programs, wireless strength, and operating leverage . Values with asterisk retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Q4 FY26 guidance: revenue $1.26–$1.34B and adj. EBITDA $140–$155M vs consensus* revenue $1.303B and EBITDA $145.9M; GAAP EPS $1.30–$1.65 vs consensus* $1.60, while new adjusted EPS methodology (ex-intangible amortization) is $1.62–$1.97, above GAAP consensus* midpoint . Values with asterisk retrieved from S&P Global.

Guidance Details vs Consensus

Q4 FY26 Guidance vs S&P Global Consensus

MetricCompany GuidanceConsensus*
Revenue ($B)$1.26–$1.34 $1.303*
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$140–$155 $145.9*
Diluted EPS ($)$1.30–$1.65 $1.60*
Adjusted Diluted EPS ex-amort. ($)$1.62–$1.97

Values with asterisk retrieved from S&P Global.

Implications of the Power Solutions Acquisition

  • Strategic fit: brings electrical scope “inside the fence,” complementing Dycom’s fiber outside-plant; >90% of Power Solutions revenue from data centers in DMV, the largest US data center market (27% of US capacity) .
  • Financials and financing: ~$1.95B price (≈$293M stock, rest cash), term loan A $1.0B, 364-day bridge $700M; weighted average interest rate expected <6%; if $1.7B drawn for FY27, incremental cash interest ≈$96M; leverage <3x at close and path to ≈2x in 12–18 months .
  • Accretion: immediately accretive to adjusted EBITDA margin and adjusted EPS (ex-amort.); Power Solutions EBITDA margins mid-to-high teens with >$1B backlog .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Durable multi-year growth vectors: carrier fiber-to-home ramps, hyperscaler-driven long-haul/middle-mile fiber, and BEAD underwrite multi-year revenue visibility; record backlog and expanding NTM backlog support trajectory .
  • Quality of earnings improving: margin expansion from operating leverage and process efficiencies; DSOs and cash flow trending better; ERP program should add efficiencies through FY27 .
  • Q4 seasonality acknowledged; FY midpoint raised: despite normal seasonal headwinds, Dycom raised full-year revenue midpoint and introduced higher-visibility adjusted EPS framework (ex-amort.) .
  • Strategic M&A broadens TAM and margins: Power Solutions acquisition positions Dycom to capture data center electrical alongside fiber, with immediate adjusted EBITDA and EPS accretion and manageable leverage trajectory .
  • Estimate revisions likely: Q3 beats and raised FY midpoint, plus Q4 adjusted EPS framework, should prompt adjustments to EPS frameworks and valuation comps; monitor impact of purchase accounting and amortization on reported GAAP vs adjusted EPS .

Notes: All non-estimate financials and commentary sourced to company filings, press releases, and transcripts as cited. Consensus figures marked with an asterisk are Values retrieved from S&P Global.